Box Office Predictions/Results Thread

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Mmm, standard drop for Toy Story 4, and okay enough for Annabelle, and Yesterday.

https://deadline.com/2019/06/toy-sto...ce-1202639398/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Toy Story 4 Dis 4,575 $17M (-64%) $56.3M (-54%) $234.5M 2
2 Annabelle 3 NL/WB 3,613 $6.6M $19.5M $30.3M 1
3 Yesterday Uni/WT 2,603 $6M $16.4M $16.4M 1
4 Aladdin Dis 3,235 (-600) $2.9M (-32%) $9.2M (-30%) $305.7M 6
5 Secret…Pets 2 Ill/Uni 3,353 (-451) $2M (-36%) $6.6M (-36%) $130.7M 4
6 Men In Black 4 Sony 3,663 (-561) $1.9M (-42%) $6.3M (-41%) $64.8M 3
7 Avengers: Endgame Dis 2,025 (+1,040) $1.86M (+251%) $5.9M (+200%) $841.7M 10
8 Child’s Play UA/Or 3,007 $1.3M (-78%) $4.2M (-70%) $23.3M 2
9 Rocketman Par 2,003 (-411) $980K (-39%) $3.4M (-38%) $83.8M 5
10 John Wick 3 LG 1,550 (-57) $806K (-27%) $2.9M (-28%) $3.46M 7

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Decent-ish drop for Toy Story 4. Okay for Annabelle and Yesterday too.

https://deadline.com/2019/06/toy-sto...ce-1202639398/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK

1
Toy Story 4 Dis 4,575 $17M $23M $17.9M $57.9M (-52%) $236.9M 2

2
Annabelle 3 NL/WB 3,613 $6.6M $7.6M $6.1M $20.3M $31.2M 1

3
Yesterday Uni 2,603 $6M $6.1M $4.8M $17M $17M 1

4
Aladdin Dis 3,235 (-200) $2.9M $3.9M $2.6M $9.3M
(-29%) $305.9M 6

5
Secret Life Of Pets 2 Ill/Uni 3,353 (-451) $2M $2.8M $2.2M $7.1M
(-31%) $131.2M 4

6
Men In Black 4 Sony 3,663 (-561) $1.6M $2.3M $1.7M $6.55M
(-39%) $65M 3

7
Avengers: Endgame Dis 2,025 (+1,040) $1.8M $2.2M $1.3M $5.5M
(+179%) $841.3M 10

8
Child’s Play UA/Or 3,007 $1.3M $1.7M $1.2M $4.3M
(-70%) $23.4M 2

9
Rocketman Par 2,003 (-411) $980K $1.6M $1.2M $3.87M (-31%) $84.1M 5

10
John Wick 3 LG 1,550 (-57) $808K $1.3M $1M $3.1M (-22%) $161.3M 7

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Solid weekend numbers for Far From Home. It's already made 91m based off the three previous days.

https://deadline.com/2019/07/spider-...ar-1202641901/

1. Spider-Man: Far From Home (Sony) 4,634 theaters $32.7M Fri, $87M-$93M FSS Total: $178M-$184M/Wk. 1

2. Toy Story 4 (Dis) 4,540 theaters (-35), $11.8M Fri (-31%), $33M FSS (-45%), Total: $305.2M/Wk. 3

3. Yesterday (Uni) 2,614 theaters (+11), $3.3M Fri (-45%), $10.1M FSS (-41%), Total: $36.2M/Wk. 2

4. Annabelle Comes Home (NL/WB) 3,613 theaters, $3.3M Fri (-50%), $9.9M FSS (-51%), Total: $50.3M/Wk.

5. Aladdin (Dis) 2,758 theaters (-477), $2.7M Fri (-10%), $8.2M FSS (-19%), Total: $321.3M/Wk. 7

6. Midsommar (A24) 2,707 theaters, $2.2M Fri, $6.2M FSS , Total: $10.4M/Wk. 1

7. Secret Life of Pets 2 (Uni) 2,846 theaters, $1.6M Fri (-24%), $4.6M FSS (-37%) , Total: $140.6M/Wk. 5

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Largest opening ever for a movie released on a Tuesday. Congrats Spidey!

TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 N Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony $93,600,000 - 4,634 - $20,199 $185,055,628 $160 1
2 1 Toy Story 4 BV $34,300,000 -42.5% 4,540 -35 $7,555 $306,557,544 - 3
3 3 Yesterday Uni. $10,750,000 -36.8% 2,614 +11 $4,112 $36,882,740 $26 2
4 2 Annabelle Comes Home WB (NL) $9,750,000 -51.9% 3,613 - $2,699 $50,157,397 - 2
5 4 Aladdin (2019) BV $7,600,000 -24.9% 2,758 -477 $2,756 $320,789,616 $183 7
6 N Midsommar A24 $6,561,798 - 2,707 - $2,424 $10,902,112 - 1
7 5 The Secret Life of Pets 2 Uni. $4,760,000 -35.0% 2,846 -507 $1,673 $140,743,335 $80 5
8 6 Men in Black International Sony $3,635,000 -45.6% 2,716 -947 $1,338 $71,989,949 $110 4
9 7 Avengers: Endgame BV $3,100,000 -49.3% 1,985 -40 $1,562 $847,862,833 $356 11
10 9 Rocketman Par. $2,775,000 -29.5% 1,409 -594 $1,969 $89,169,715 $40 6

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for the weekend (July 12 - 14).

1. Spider-Man: Far From Home - 45.5m
2. Toy Story 4 - 20.10m
3. Stuber - 11m
4. Crawl - 11m
5. Yesterday - 7.1m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Okay for Crawl and Stuber, I guess. Spidey had a good drop too.

https://deadline.com/2019/07/spider-...ce-1202645451/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Spidey…Home Sony 4,634 $13.4M (-59%) $44.5M (-52%) $273.7M 2
2 Toy Story 4 Dis 4,210 (-330) $6.1M (-48%) $20.6M
(-39%) $346.3M 4
3 Crawl Par 3,170 $4.3M $10.6M $10.6M 1
4 Stuber Dis/Fox 3,050 $3M $8M $8M 1
5 Yesterday Uni/WT 2,755 (+141) $1.95M (-42%) $6.1M (-39%) $47.7M 3
6 Aladdin Dis 2,557 (-201) $1.76M (-33%) $5.7M (-24%) $331.3M 8
7 Annabelle 3 NL/WB 3,209 (-404) $1.7M (-47%) $5.5M (-42%) $60.7M 3
8 Midsommar A24 2,707 $1.1M (-50%) $3.5M (-46%) $18.4M 2
9 Secret…Pets 2 Ill/Uni 2,320 (-526) $950
(-40%) $3.2M (-32%) $147.2M 6
10 Men In Black 4 Sony 1,612 (-1,104) $633K (-53%) $2M (-46%) $76.3M 5

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Really good drop for Far From Home. Also Aladdin is making some serious bank, wouldn't surprise me if it finished with 360m.

https://deadline.com/2019/07/spider-...ce-1202645451/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Spider-Man: Far From Home Sony 4,634 $13.3M $18.1M $13.8M $45.3M (-51%) $274.5M 2
2 Toy Story 4 Dis 4,210 (-330) $6.2M $8.2M $6.1M $20.7M
(-39%) $346.3M 4
3 Crawl Par 3,170 $4.4M $4.3M $3.4M $12M $12M 1
4 Stuber Disney/Fox 3,050 $3M $2.9M $2M $8M $8M 1
5 Yesterday Uni/WT 2,755 (+141) $1.96M $2.8M $2M $6.75M
(-33%) $48.3M 3
6 Aladdin Dis 2,557 (-201) $1.7M $2.4M $1.6M $5.8M
(-21%) $331.4M 8
7 Annabelle 3 NL/WB 3,209 (-404) $1.7M $2.1M $1.6M $5.55M
(-41%) $60.7M 3
8 Midsommar A24 2,707 $1.1M $1.3M $1M $3.55M
(-46%) $18.4M 2
9 Secret…Pets 2 Ill/Uni 2,320 (-526) $970K $1.2M $900K $3.1M (-34%) $147.1M 6
10 Men In Black 4 Sony 1,612 (-1,104) $650K $900K $665K $2.2M (-41%) $76.4M 5

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Massive opening weekend for The Lion King of course, even if it did fall from Friday's estimates. Nonetheless Disney can't be crying, that's for sure.

https://deadline.com/2019/07/the-lio...ds-1202648944/


THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK

1
Lion King Dis 4,725 $78.5M $192M-$200M $192M-$200M 1

2
Spidey…Home Sony 4,415 (-219) $6M (-54%) $21.9M
(-52%) $320.5M 3

3
Toy Story 4 Dis 3,750 (-460) $4.3M (-31%) $14.2M (-32%) $375.1M 5

4
Crawl Par 3,170 $1.7M (-60%) $5.7M (-53%) $23.5M 2

5
Yesterday Uni/WT 2,662 (-93) $1.39M (-29%) $4.7M (-29%) $57.2M 4

6
Stuber Dis/Fox 3,050 $1.1M (-63%) $3.8M (-53%) $15.9M 2

7
Aladdin Dis 2,105 (-452) $1.1M (-41%) $3.6M (-41%) $339.9M 9

8
Annabelle 3 NL/WB 1,981 (1,228) $815K (-54%) $2.5M (-56%) $66.4M 4

9
Midsommar A24 1,105 (-1,602) $490K
(-57%) $1.57M (-57%) $22.4M 3

10
Secret..Pets 2 Ill/Uni 1,380 (-940) $420K (-56%) $1.4M (-56%) $151.4M 7

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Big numbers for TLK. Also broke the opening weekend record for July.

https://deadline.com/2019/07/the-lio...ds-1202648944/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 The Lion King Dis 4,725 $78.5M $61.6M $51.9M $192M $192M 1
2 Spidey…Home Sony 4,415 (-219) $6M $8.4M $6.5M $21M
(-53%) $319.7M 3
3 Toy Story 4 Dis 3,750 (-460) $4.3M $5.9M $4.3M $14.6M (-30%) $375.5M 5
4 Crawl Par 3,170 $1.7M $2.4M $1.8M $6M (-50%) $23.8M 2
5 Yesterday Uni/WT 2,662 (-93) $1.3M $2.1M $1.55M $5.1M
(-24%) $57.5M 4
6 Stuber Dis/Fox 3,050 $1.1M $1.6M $1.1M $4M
(-51%) $16M 2
7 Aladdin Dis 2,105 (-452) $1.1M $1.5M $1.1M $3.8M
(-38%) $340M 9
8 Annabelle 3 NL/WB 1,981 (-1,228) $815K $1M $820K $2.66M
(-53%) $66.5M 4
9 Midsommar A24 1,105 (-1,602) $490K $612M $496K $1.59M (-56%) $22.4M 3
10 Secret..Pets 2 Ill/Uni 1,380 (-940) $420K $620K $490K $1.53M (-52%) $151.6M 7
11 Avengers: Endgame Dis 985 (-458) $367K $498K $334K $1.1M

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (July 26 - 28).

1. The Lion King - 90m
2. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood - 47m
3. Spider-Man: Far From Home - 13m
4. Toy Story 4 - 10m
5. Yesterday - 3.3m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Solid for OUATIH. Lion King took a bit of a steep drop, but that was to be expected.

https://deadline.com/2019/07/once-up...nd-1202654606/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY(VS. PREV FRI) 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Lion King Dis 4,725 $22.3M (-71%) $76.7M (-60%) $351.9M 2
2 Once…H’wood Sony 3,659 $16.9M $41M $41M 1
3 Spidey…Home Sony 3,851 (-564) $3.3M (-45%) $11.8M (-44%) $344M 4
4 Toy Story 4 Dis 3,610 (-140) $2.9M (-38%) $9.7M (-37%) $395.5M 6
5 Crawl Par 2,720 (-450) $1.1M (-37%) $3.9M (-36%) $31.3M 3
6 Yesterday Uni/WT 2,550 (-112) $843K (-39%) $3M (-40%) $63.3M 5
7 Aladdin Dis 1,798 (-307) $759K (-37%) $2.6M (-38%) $345.7M 10
8 Stuber Dis/Fox 2,150 (-900) $485K (-58%) $1.7M (-58%) $20.1M 3
9 Annabelle 3 WB 1,287 (-694) $482K (-41%) $1.5M (-41%) $69.7M 5
10 The Farewell A24 135 (+100) $430K (+25%) $1.4M (+26%) $3.6M 3

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

TLK had a hefty drop, but next weekend will tell the whole story, meanwhile OUATIH has Tarantino's best opening weekend, yet.

https://deadline.com/2019/07/once-up...nd-1202654606/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 The Lion King Dis 4,725 $22.3M $29.7M $23.5M $75.5M (-60%) $350.8M 2
2 Once…H’Wood Sony 3,659 $16.85M $13.36M $10.1M $40.35M $40.35M 1
3 Spidey…Home Sony 3,851 (-564) $3.5M $4.9M $3.76M $12.2M (-43%) $344.4M 4
4 Toy Story 4 Dis 3,610 (-140) $3M $4M $2.8M $9.8M (-37%) $395.6M 6
5 Crawl Par 2,720 (-450) $1.1M $1.6M $1.2M $4M
(-34%) $31.5M 3
6 Yesterday Uni/WT 2,550 (-112) $860K $1.26M $880K $3M
(-40%) $63.3M 5
7 Aladdin Dis 1,798 (-307) $822K $1.1M $791K $2.8M
(-32%) $345.9M 10
8 Stuber Dis/Fox 2,510 (-900) $494K $713K $472K $1.67M
(-59%) $20.1M 3
9 Annabelle 3 NL/WB 1,287 (-694) $475K $620K $465K $1.56M (-40%) $69.7M 5
10 The Farewell A24 135 (+100) $472K $594K $487K $1.55M (+35%) $3.6M 3

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (August 2 - 4).

1. Hobbs & Shaw - 59m
2. The Lion King - 38m
3. Once Upon a Time in Hollywood - 20m
4. Spider-Man: Far From Home - 7.6m
5. Toy Story 4 - 7.2m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

That's a better Friday number for Hobbs & Shaw, then I was expecting.

https://deadline.com/2019/08/hobbs-s...ad-1202659422/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY(VS. PREV FRI) 3-DAY TOTAL WK

1
Hobbs & Shaw Uni 4,253 $23.8M $60M-$61M $60M-$61M 1

2
Lion King Dis 4,802 (+77) $11.2M $37.9M (-50%) $430.5M 3

3
Once…H’Wood Sony 3,659 $5.6M (-67%) $19.3M (-53%) $78.1M 2

4
Spidey..Home Sony 3,446 (-405) $2.2M (-37%) $7.9M (-36%) $360.4M 5

5
Toy Story 4 Dis 3,225 (-385) $2.1M (-35%) $7M (-33%) $409.9M 7

6
Yesterday Uni/WT 1,837 (-713) $690K (-20%) $2.4M (-21%) $67.9M 6

7
The Farewell A24 409 (+274) $703K (+50%) $2.2M (+49%) $6.7M 4

8
Crawl Par 2,085 (-635) $610K (-47%) $2.1M (-48%) $36M 4

9
Aladdin Dis 1,370 (-428) $580K (-36%) $1.9M (-37%) $350.2M 11

10
Annabelle 3 WB/NL 919 (-368) $270K (-44%) $885K (-43%) $71.6M 6

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Good drop for Hollywood. Hobbs & Shaw stabilized of course.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

1 N Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Uni. $60,800,000 - 4,253 - $14,296 $60,800,000 $200 1
2 1 The Lion King (2019) BV $38,246,000 -50.1% 4,802 +77 $7,965 $430,889,078 - 3
3 2 Once Upon a Time in Hollywood Sony $20,025,000 -51.3% 3,659 - $5,473 $78,842,475 $90 2
4 3 Spider-Man: Far from Home Sony $7,755,000 -37.7% 3,446 -405 $2,250 $360,328,925 $160 5
5 4 Toy Story 4 BV $7,150,000 -31.6% 3,225 -385 $2,217 $410,050,743 - 7
6 6 Yesterday Uni. $2,440,000 -20.8% 1,837 -713 $1,328 $67,902,655 $26 6
7 10 The Farewell A24 $2,429,114 +60.0% 409 +274 $5,939 $6,837,624 - 4
8 5 Crawl Par. $2,150,000 -47.1% 2,085 -635 $1,031 $36,090,773 $13.5 4
9 7 Aladdin (2019) BV $2,018,000 -33.6% 1,370 -428 $1,473 $350,369,592 $183 11
10 9 Annabelle Comes Home WB (NL) $875,000 -43.7% 919 -368 $952 $71,575,112 - 6