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Got a prediction on this week's openings? I'm hearing surprisingly good things about all three family-friendly offerings this week, The Muppets, Hugo, and Arthur Christmas.
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I say the Muppets will gross about $33 over the weekend.You just witnessed the strength of geek knowledge. N.W.A., Nerd With Attitude. Straight out of Vulcan!Comment
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I think that Twilight/The Muppets will be at the top 2 spots. Twilight will still be at the #1 spot and Muppets will be at #2 or the other way around.
" He who does not punish evil commands it to be done."-Leonardo da VinciComment
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Much as it would make me laugh uncontrollably to see The Muppets knock Twilight out of the top spot in only its second weekend (as well as upping my opinion of humanity in general) I somehow just can't see it happening.Originally posted by projectile View Post
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1. Twilight Breaking Dawn (50-70 million)Originally posted by Mister Ed View Post
2. The Muppets (30-40 million)
3. Arthur's Christmas (18-20 million)
4. Happy Feet two (12-17 million)
5. Hugo (10-17 million)
Sorry I can't post why. The connection I'm using is limiting my word access. I had an explanation all written out, but I couldn't get it on.Last edited by Mister.Weirdo; 11-23-2011, 10:08 PM.
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http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/new...sgiving-266044 (I really wish people would stop throwing Hugo off as a flop, it hasn't been released in every theater, and it's one of the best received movies of the year, I see oscar potentional).Comment
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http://boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3316&p=.htm
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 maintained a solid grasp of first place on Friday, though The Muppets continued to be a strong presence in second. Meanwhile, newcomers Arthur Christmas and Hugo remained neck-and-neck despite Arthur's significant theater count advantage.
Breaking Dawn Part 1 plummeted 76 percent to an estimated $16.9 million on Friday. That decline is nearly identical to that of New Moon at the same time in 2009. With $196.2 million so far, though, Breaking Dawn is currently trailing New Moon by over $9 million. The fourth installment in the Twilight series appears to be on target for a five-day Thanksgiving weekend around $60 million.
The Muppets added $12.3 million yesterday for a three-day total of $24.8 million. It's closely following the pattern of Disney's 2007 Thanksgiving entry Enchanted, albeit with slightly lower grosses so far. Based on that comparison, The Muppets is currently poised for a $42 million five-day haul.
The music continued to fade for Happy Feet Two on Friday. The movie was off 12 percent to $5.1 million, or just 33 percent of the original Happy Feet's gross on the same day in 2006. Through eight days in theaters, Happy Feet Two has made a meager $35.5 million, and is currently in line for around $18 million for the holiday weekend.
Arthur Christmas earned an estimated $4.55 million on Friday for a three-day total of $8.8 million. That should translate in to around $15 million for the five-day weekend, which is lower than the three-day starts of all previous Aardman Animation wide releases. With its very direct connection to Christmas, Arthur didn't need to get off to a great start, but it still looks set to come in on the low-end of modest expectations.
Hugo claimed fifth place on Friday with an estimated $4.5 million, which is a very solid tally considering it's only playing at 1,277 venues. The movie has so far made $8.55 million, and will end the weekend with roughly $15 million. Paramount is reporting that 75 percent of Hugo's Friday box office came from 3D presentations.
Much further down the chart, The Artist debuted to an estimated $75,000 at just four locations. That's 63 percent of The King's Speech's opening day, which The Weinstein Company unveiled on the same weekend and at the same number of venues last year. Considering one movie is an uplifting historical drama while the other is a black-and-white silent movie, The Artist's debut is definitely impressive. Still, it remains to be seen how the movie plays outside of New York and Los Angeles.Comment
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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3317
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 easily repeated in first place at the box office over Thanksgiving weekend, while The Muppets revived the long-dormant franchise with a strong second place debut. Arthur Christmas and Hugo weren't quite as fortunate, though the true measure of their success will be determined over the next month.
Breaking Dawn added an estimated $62.3 million for the five-day weekend, which is a bit off from New Moon's $66.3 million over the same time period in 2009. On Saturday, Breaking Dawn passed $200 million, and through its first 10 days the penultimate Twilight movie has earned $221.3 million.
The Muppets opened to an estimated $42 million, which is down from past Disney Thanksgiving entries Tangled ($68.7 million) and Enchanted ($49.1 million). Considering the previously-dilapidated state of the Muppet brand, though, that number is an enormous accomplishment, and credit is due to Disney's marketing team for reintroducing the puppets in a fun, engaging advertising campaign. In just five days, the movie eclipsed the total of all previous Muppet movies with the exception of 1979's The Muppet Movie, which it will pass by next weekend. Of course, it still lags behind all of the movies in attendance except 1999 dud Muppets from Space, though that will quickly change over the next week or two. The audience was 53 percent female and awarded the movie an "A" CinemaScore.
Happy Feet Two fell 14 percent to $18.4 million for the five-day frame. In comparison, the first Happy Feet improved 22 percent to $50.6 million over Thanksgiving weekend in 2006. The sequel's $44.8 million total is a far cry from the original's $99.3 million through the same point.
Arthur Christmas debuted in fourth place with an estimated $17 million. It's $12.7 million three-day start ranks at the bottom of Aardman Animation wide releases, though it surely relieved some demand with its Wednesday opening. While this isn't a very impressive debut, the movie's direct connection to the upcoming Christmas holiday should translate in to strong holds throughout the month of December. 3D presentations accounted for 53 percent of the gross, and the audience was 59 percent female and 31 percent under the age of 25. The movie received an "A-" CinemaScore.
Hugo claimed fifth place with an estimated $15.4 million at just 1,277 locations. As hard as this may be to believe, Hugo's $11.35 million Friday-Sunday gross is actually director Martin Scorsese's third-highest debut ever behind Shutter Island and The Departed. Throughout the marketing effort distributor Paramount Pictures consistently emphasized the benefits of seeing Hugo in 3D, which paid off with a 75 percent 3D share. Paramount is currently planning to expand Hugo in to many more theaters on Dec. 9, which should help the movie hold well throughout the season.
Down in 10th place, Alexander Payne's The Descendants added a massive $9.24 million from just 433 locations. That's an incredibly strong expansion for the Fox Searchlight awards contender, and the movie will surely be making a nationwide expansion in the next week or two.
Aside from the onslaught of new family movies, the weekend also saw a few noteworthy limited releases targeted at adults. My Week with Marilyn burst on to the scene with $2.1 million over its first five days. After playing at 123 locations on Wednesday and Thursday, it expanded to 244 theaters for the traditional three-day weekend and claimed a spot in the Top 12 with $1.77 million.
David Cronenberg's A Dangerous Method opened to $241,000 from four theaters over the five-day weekend for a solid $60,250 average. The period drama about Sigmund Freud and Carl Jung stars Keira Knightley, Viggo Mortensen and Michael Fassbender, and it should be in good shape for a solid limited run.
Finally, The Artist opened at four theaters on Friday and earned $210,000 for the three-day weekend. That's 59 percent of The King's Speech's opening at the same time last year. The Weinstein Company will almost likely expand the movie gradually over the next two months to take advantage of inevitable awards buzz and strong word-of-mouth, though it's hard to imagine this black-and-white silent movie playing well outside of arthouse theaters.Comment
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Nothing big is coming out this week. Twilight will probably rule the box office again (maybe not?).
1. Twilight Breaking Dawn (30-40 million)
2. The Muppets (20-40 million)
3. Hugo (20-25 million)
4. Happy Feet two (10-15 million)
5. Arthur's Christmas (10-15 million).Comment
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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3320&p=.htm
Heading in to the weekend, it looked like it was going to be a tight race for first place between The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 and The Muppets. With Friday estimates in, though, Breaking Dawn has an overwhelming edge and will easily score its third-straight weekend on top of the box office.
The penultimate Twilight movie fell 67 percent to an estimated $5.5 million. That's notably up on New Moon's $5.1 million on the same day in 2009, though Breaking Dawn's $235.9 million still lags a bit behind New Moon's $245 million through the same point. Breaking Dawn is now poised for a weekend take around $16 million, which will definitely be good enough for first place.
The Muppets plummeted 77 percent to an estimated $2.7 million. In comparison, Tangled dropped 74 percent while Enchanted fell 66 percent on the Friday after Thanksgiving weekend. The movie has made $48 million through its first 10 days in theaters, and will likely finish the weekend with between $9 and $10 million.
After expanding from 1,277 to 1,840 theaters, Hugo eased 56 percent to claim third place with an estimated $2 million. The movie has so far earned $19.6 million, and appears in line for a $7 million three-day weekend.
Arthur Christmas fell 63 percent to an estimated $1.65 million. The Aardman Animation Christmas movie has now grossed $19.6 million, and will finish the weekend with roughly $6 million.
Jack and Jill fell 58 percent to $1.56 million, which was one of the better holds among nationwide releases. The Adam Sandler comedy has now made $60.4 million.
Happy Feet Two added $1.4 million on Friday, or just 33 percent of Happy Feet's daily gross at the same point in 2006. The animated sequel has earned just $47.2 million so far, and is on its way to a weekend gross between $5 and $6 million.
An estimate for The Descendants is not currently available.
I'm bummed people are rejected the Muppets.Comment
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http://insidemovies.ew.com/2011/12/0...-dawn-muppets/
For the first time, a Twilight movie has ruled the box office for three weeks in a row. During what was one of the slowest weekends of the year, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part 1 held on to first, dropping 60 percent for $16.9 million, according to studio estimates.
That’s a smaller decline than what The Twilight Saga: New Moon experienced during the same weekend two years ago — it fell 64 percent. Nevertheless, Breaking Dawn — Part 1 is still trailing the past two Twilight movies. The fourth entry in the romantic supernatural series has so far grossed a stellar $247.3 million in 17 days. By comparison, New Moon had earned $255.4 million by this point, while The Twilight Saga: Eclipse had collected $255.8 million. This will ultimately be a moot point when Breaking Dawn — Part 2 comes out next November and likely destroys all of the franchise’s records.
Disney’s The Muppets was the runner-up, plunging a sharp 62 percent — more than any other wide release — for a weekend tally of $11.2 million. It’s too early to sound the alarm, especially since the movie has already grossed $56.1 million on its $45 million budget. And The Muppets will likely bounce back with a better hold next week. But it is surprising that a PG-rated family film with such endearing reviews and an “A” rating from CinemaScore graders would drop so much.
One possible explanation is that after all the activities and shopping of Thanksgiving weekend, many families opted to take it easy this week. It’s worth noting that such Thanksgiving releases as 2007′s Enchanted and last year’s Tangled fell 52 percent and 56 percent, respectively, during their sophomore frames. But Hugo, Arthur Christmas, Happy Feet Two, and Puss in Boots all had smaller drops than The Muppets, so there might be something else at play here.
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Perhaps the film’s solid $29.2 million opening weekend was driven more by nostalgic adults than by family audiences. (Disney reported that 65 percent of the picture’s audience was over the age of 18.) If that’s the case, then those muppety adults all rushed out to see The Muppets last week, thereby leaving the film somewhat front-loaded. Disney would be wise to release Miss Piggy out into the world to intimidate encourage more families to see the movie.
The rest of the top five was occupied by other family films. Martin Scorsese’s Hugo, a 3-D love letter to silent cinema, slipped 33 percent for $7.6 million. The movie’s small decline can be partly attributed to the fact that it added more than 500 theaters this weekend. Hugo has so far taken in $25.2 million on a budget that’s reportedly at least $150 million. In fourth place, Sony’s Arthur Christmas declined only 39 percent for $7.4 million. The well-reviewed holiday comedy should continue to hold up well as we approach Christmas Day. And Happy Feet Two rounded out the top five by diving 55 percent for $6 million.
In limited release, the George Clooney dramedy The Descendants once again posted impressive numbers, grossing $5.2 million from 574 theaters. Fox Searchlight will expand the Oscar hopeful to 850 theaters on Friday. The silent film The Artist also continued to make some noise with $206,000 from six locations. And, finally, the NC-17 drama Shame, about a New York sex addict (Michael Fassbender), debuted to a superb $361,000 at 10 theaters. The film may have trouble adding theaters beyond metropolitan areas because of its taboo rating.
1. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn — Part 1 — $16.9 mil
2. The Muppets — $11.2 mil
3. Hugo — $7.6 mil
4. Arthur Christmas — $7.4 mil
5. Happy Feet Two — $6.0 mil
Right now I think I'm ashamed to be an american.Comment
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Sorry this is late. I forget about this thread, but I'm glad I did, my prediction would have been way off.
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3322&p=.htmComment
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My Prediction for the weekend of December 17-19.
Sherlock Holmes: Game of Shadows (60-80 million) - It's a sequel to a popular film. Need I say more? Plus reviews are mostly good.
Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked (30-45 million) - Critics can whine and bitch all they like, but this film is likely to be a hit.
Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol (13-15 million) - This one's actually a wild card, since it's only being released in 400 or so Imax Theaters. However review are extremely positive, and the last one was met with good reception. It should do well (unless Tom Cruise's name somehow sinks it).
Young Adult (8-11 million) - Good reviews, and good reception. Although Charlize Theron is not a draw.
New Year's Eve (6-8 million) - It will drop a lot, lets just put it at that.Comment
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http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3326
Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows and Alvin and the Chipmunks: Chipwrecked were way off from their predecessors on opening day, which is the latest sign that audiences just aren't lining up for run-of-the-mill sequels. Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol, on the other hand, leveraged its unique IMAX presentation to score a strong third place start despite only playing in 425 locations. The Top 10 earned an estimated $34.7 million yesterday, which is down from the $41.3 million earned on the same Friday last year.
Sherlock Holmes debuted to $14.7 million yesterday, which is significantly lower than the first Sherlock's $24.6 million opening on Christmas Day 2009. Sherlock was also off from Tron Legacy's $17.5 million on this day last December, and it couldn't hold a candle to I Am Legend ($30.1 million) or Avatar ($26.7 million). Based on these comparisons, Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows should finish the weekend with around $40 million.
The latest installment in the Alvin and the Chipmunks franchise fared even worse than Sherlock. It earned an estimated $6.8 million yesterday, or just over half the original Alvin's $13.3 million haul on the same weekend in 2007. It was also just a fraction of The Squeakquel's $18.8 million Christmas Day opening in 2009. Alvin will likely end the weekend at around $23 million.
Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol debuted to $4.11 million at just 425 locations, around 300 of which are IMAX. It's easy to argue that this impressive start is because of the inclusion of The Dark Knight Rises prologue, except it only played at around 10 percent of Ghost Protocol's locations. Because of its unconventional release pattern, it's hard to say exactly how much Mission: Impossible will earn this weekend, though it could get as high as $15 million.
Neither of last weekend's disappointing debuts did much to save face on Friday. New Year's Eve fell 50 percent to an estimated $2.53 million, while The Sitter plummeted 61 percent to $1.44 million. The two movies have earned $19.9 million and $14.8 million, respectively.
The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 kept up a solid pace by falling 47 percent to $1.3 million. It has so far earned $263.4 million, which trails New Moon's $271.6 million through the same point.
After a solid week in limited release, Young Adult expanded to 986 locations but earned just $1.1 million. That's a fairly unimpressive start considering the talent involved (Charlize Theron, Jason Reitman, Diablo Cody), but there's obviously still a chance that the movie catches on as the holiday season progresses.
Kinda strange A game of Shadows underperformed, considering halfway decent reviews.Comment
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