Box Office Predictions/Results Thread

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

This sounds like a weird thread (but since no one's made anything like it, I decided I give it a crack).

This is more or less me giving my predictions for how what the box office will be every week. You guys can make your predictions and give reason's why.

But anyway here's my predictions,

1. Twilight Saga Breaking Dawn (120-140 million) Bad reviews notwithstanding. The Twilight Franchise has always been known as being critic proof. It's only natural (plus with huge tickets already) that the second to final film in the series would have a huge opening (as bad as it sounds).

2. Happy Feet two (40-45 million) Although reviews coming in are very mixed for this sequel to oscar-winning film. Happy Feet two has something that makes it's critical proof like Twilight, it's a family film. So only natural it would do as well as it can, given that Twilight is out on the same weekend. I suspect sort of a retread of the Hangover 2/Kung Fu Panda 2 situation.

3. The Immortals (16-18 million) Need I give reasons.

4. Puss in Boots (13-15 million). It's been out for three weeks already, and Happy Feet will replace it as the new film for the families.

5. Jack and Jill (11-14 million). Although it has received horrendous reviews, it is made with families in mind. I suspect that Jack and Jill will drop as much as Sandler's other films have dropped (40-50%), but won't make 100 million like the Stars other films, but won't flop (like it would really kill his career).

[Big Daddy Dave Skywalker Moisture Farmer Find all posts View Profile Close Big Daddy Dave Skywalker]

You gotta wait until nothing good is coming out to make this thread? Where were you last spring?

Cool idea for a thread though.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

You gotta wait until nothing good is coming out to make this thread? Where were you last spring?

Cool idea for a thread though.

There's nothing like the present. Besides the Holiday season is upon us and some big films are getting released.

[Big Daddy Dave Skywalker Moisture Farmer Find all posts View Profile Close Big Daddy Dave Skywalker]

Can't argue with that logic!

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

I shudder at the thought of Breaking Dawn possibly breaking box office records (which it will most likely do). It's scary.

[Mister Ed Horse of a Different Color Find all posts View Profile Close Mister Ed]

I shudder at the thought of Breaking Dawn possibly breaking box office records (which it will most likely do). It's scary.

I shudder at the thought of the horrible headline word-play that will ensue if a movie with "Breaking" in the title breaks records.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

[Tazer That Evil, Yellow Bastiche Find all posts View Profile Close Tazer]

Yo.

I shudder at the thought of Breaking Dawn possibly breaking box office records (which it will most likely do). It's scary.

ok, I know its evil but I couldnt help this: I was thinking of this movie title and then I thought of the BtVS -character Dawn, and then my mind went places............

howcum I cant wipe this evil smile from my face??

ok, sorry 4 interrupting the thread; plz continue on........




Tazer

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

I think I would have laughed if the trailers for Breaking Dawn said, "From the Director of Kinsey, and Dreamgirls". Bill Condon has lost my respect. Even when Breaking Dawn does make a fortune at the box office.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

http://www.toofab.com/2011/11/18/twi...n-series-best/ (yeah it's sad).

Tons of people stayed up late to see the midnight showing of "Twilight: Breaking Dawn" -- earning the film a whopping $30.3 million at the box office!

Variety is reporting -- the third installment in the Twilight series now has the highest midnight opening of the trilogy -- beating out "Eclipse" by a solid $300 thousand.

The numbers are still coming in ... but we're guessing this will be a huge weekend at the box office for the film.

[Darth_Primus Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Darth_Primus]

Vampires rule! Suck it!

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Vampires rule! Suck it!

Vampires rule, just not in Twilight.

[Darth_Primus Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Darth_Primus]

Yup, that's why Kate Beckinsale is confirmed for Underworld 4.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=3311&p=.htm

The Twilight phenomenon showed no signs of fading on Friday, though Breaking Dawn Part 1 fell just short of setting a new series record. The fourth installment debuted to an estimated $72 million yesterday, which is the third-highest opening day ever behind Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 ($91.1 million) and The Twilight Saga: New Moon ($72.7 million). While it couldn't quite pass New Moon, Breaking Dawn did have the second-best debut in the series ahead of last Summer's Eclipse ($68.5 million) and the original Twilight ($36 million). Out of its $72 million opening day, $30.25 million came from midnight showings. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1 should be headed for around $140 million for the three-day frame, which will qualify as the fifth-best opening weekend ever.

While Twilight was able to maintain series momentum, Happy Feet Two struggled to attract a fraction of the interest of the original movie. The animated sequel opened to an estimated $5.9 million from 3,606 theaters, which is less than half of Happy Feet's $12.3 million debut in 2006. The discrepancy is exacerbated by the fact that Happy Feet Two added 3D, meaning attendance took an even bigger hit. Following the first movie's pattern, Happy Feet Two appears in line for a $20 million weekend.

With the combination of Breaking Dawn's all-consuming opening and the fact that many kids were out of school last Friday for Veterans Day, the holdovers all experienced substantial declines. Immortals was off a whopping 74 percent to an estimated $3.82 million. That's worse than 300 and Clash of the Titans, which dropped 64 percent and 68 percent, respectively. The movie has now earned $44.5 million through eight days, and it looks poised for a $12-13 million weekend gross.

Jack and Jill dropped 64 percent to $3.5 million. That decline is worse than most Sandler fare, though it's about on par with You Don't Mess with the Zohan (63 percent) and an improvement over Funny People (70 percent). The movie has so far made $32.5 million, and it should finish the weekend with roughly $13 million.

After holding steady for three straight weeks, Puss in Boots fell hard with direct competition from Happy Feet Two. The movie dropped 62 percent to an estimated $3.4 million, which brings its total to a strong $115 million. It will likely move up to third place for the weekend with around $14 million.

On its second Friday, J. Edgar fell 58 percent to $1.8 million. That's steeper than director Clint Eastwood's Hereafter, which declined 50 percent last Fall. The period drama, starring Leonardo DiCaprio, has so far made $16.6 million.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

While it wasn't quite able to reach the series high mark, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1's outstanding estimated $139.5 million opening indicated that the sexy teen vampires are as popular as ever. What does appear to have lost some of its appeal, however, is dancing penguins: Happy Feet Two struggled to even open to half as much as its popular 2006 predecessor. Overall box office was up around 14 percent to at least $221 million, and the weekend could wind up ranking as the fifth-highest on record.

Breaking Dawn's $139.5 million opening is second-best among Twilight movies behind 2009's New Moon ($142.7 million). That's a small gap, though, and Breaking Dawn still managed to claim fifth place on the all-time opening weekend chart behind Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, The Dark Knight, Spider-Man 3 and New Moon. As is typical for the Twilight movies, its weekend was incredibly front-loaded with 51.6 percent of the gross coming from Friday showings (including its $30.25 midnight tally).

The audience was 80 percent female and 60 percent over 21 years old. That's more female-skewing than Eclipse (65 percent) but even with New Moon (80 percent). Also, the audience was younger for those movies (only 50 percent over 21 years old), though it's logical for the crowd to age along with the series. Breaking Dawn received a "B+" CinemaScore, which improved to an "A-" among females.

Happy Feet Two debuted to an estimated $22 million, or just over half as much as the $41.5 million that the first Happy Feet opened to on the same weekend in 2006. While that was going up against a weaker competitor (Casino Royale opened to less than a third of Breaking Dawn Part 1), Happy Feet Two did receive a bit of a boost from 3D with 50 percent of its weekend gross coming from 2,825 3D screens. The audience was 57 percent female and 53 percent under 25 years old, and the movie received a "B+" CinemaScore.

Immortals plummeted 62 percent to an estimated $12.3 million. That's an improvement over August's Conan the Barbarian (68 percent), but it's off from Clash of the Titans (57 percent) and 300 (54 percent). Through 10 days in theaters, the fantasy epic has earned just shy of $53 million.

Jack and Jill fell 52 percent to $12 million in its second weekend. The decline was better than that of star Adam Sandler's You Don't Mess with the Zohan (58 percent) and Grown Ups (53 percent), though those were both Summer releases that are less dependent on strong weekend grosses. This isn't an impressive hold for a late-year release, and the movie's $41 million total lags significantly behind all of Sandler and director Dennis Dugan's recent collaborations.

Against Breaking Dawn and Happy Feet Two, Puss in Boots took its first major hit this weekend. The animated prequel fell 57 percent to an estimated $10.7 million, which brings its total to $122.3 million. It will pass fellow DreamWorks Animation movie Bee Movie ($126.6 million) sometime this week, and there's still a chance that it closes ahead of Megamind's $148.4 million as well.

Easing 45 percent to an estimated $7 million, Tower Heist had the best hold among the Top Eight movies this weekend. Through its third frame, the Ben Stiller-Eddie Murphy action comedy has earned $53.4 million.

J. Edgar was off 47 percent to $5.9 million in its second outing. That drop is nearly identical to director Clint Eastwood's Hereafter last Fall, albeit with slightly lower grosses. J. Edgar has now made $20.7 million, and it looks like it's going to be a tough road to get past $40 million.

The Descendants cracked the Top 10 with an estimated $1.2 million from just 29 theaters. That's a stronger start than director Alexander Payne's Sideways and About Schmidt, though their patterns were more gradual so it isn't exactly an apples-to-apples comparison. Those two movies finished with $71.5 million and $65 million, respectively, which is what The Descendants ought to be shooting for after this strong start.
While it wasn't quite able to reach the series high mark, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn Part 1's outstanding estimated $139.5 million opening indicated that the sexy teen vampires are as popular as ever. What does appear to have lost some of its appeal, however, is dancing penguins: Happy Feet Two struggled to even open to half as much as its popular 2006 predecessor. Overall box office was up around 14 percent to at least $221 million, and the weekend could wind up ranking as the fifth-highest on record.

Breaking Dawn's $139.5 million opening is second-best among Twilight movies behind 2009's New Moon ($142.7 million). That's a small gap, though, and Breaking Dawn still managed to claim fifth place on the all-time opening weekend chart behind Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2, The Dark Knight, Spider-Man 3 and New Moon. As is typical for the Twilight movies, its weekend was incredibly front-loaded with 51.6 percent of the gross coming from Friday showings (including its $30.25 midnight tally).

The audience was 80 percent female and 60 percent over 21 years old. That's more female-skewing than Eclipse (65 percent) but even with New Moon (80 percent). Also, the audience was younger for those movies (only 50 percent over 21 years old), though it's logical for the crowd to age along with the series. Breaking Dawn received a "B+" CinemaScore, which improved to an "A-" among females.

Happy Feet Two debuted to an estimated $22 million, or just over half as much as the $41.5 million that the first Happy Feet opened to on the same weekend in 2006. While that was going up against a weaker competitor (Casino Royale opened to less than a third of Breaking Dawn Part 1), Happy Feet Two did receive a bit of a boost from 3D with 50 percent of its weekend gross coming from 2,825 3D screens. The audience was 57 percent female and 53 percent under 25 years old, and the movie received a "B+" CinemaScore.

Immortals plummeted 62 percent to an estimated $12.3 million. That's an improvement over August's Conan the Barbarian (68 percent), but it's off from Clash of the Titans (57 percent) and 300 (54 percent). Through 10 days in theaters, the fantasy epic has earned just shy of $53 million.

Jack and Jill fell 52 percent to $12 million in its second weekend. The decline was better than that of star Adam Sandler's You Don't Mess with the Zohan (58 percent) and Grown Ups (53 percent), though those were both Summer releases that are less dependent on strong weekend grosses. This isn't an impressive hold for a late-year release, and the movie's $41 million total lags significantly behind all of Sandler and director Dennis Dugan's recent collaborations.

Against Breaking Dawn and Happy Feet Two, Puss in Boots took its first major hit this weekend. The animated prequel fell 57 percent to an estimated $10.7 million, which brings its total to $122.3 million. It will pass fellow DreamWorks Animation movie Bee Movie ($126.6 million) sometime this week, and there's still a chance that it closes ahead of Megamind's $148.4 million as well.

Easing 45 percent to an estimated $7 million, Tower Heist had the best hold among the Top Eight movies this weekend. Through its third frame, the Ben Stiller-Eddie Murphy action comedy has earned $53.4 million.

J. Edgar was off 47 percent to $5.9 million in its second outing. That drop is nearly identical to director Clint Eastwood's Hereafter last Fall, albeit with slightly lower grosses. J. Edgar has now made $20.7 million, and it looks like it's going to be a tough road to get past $40 million.

The Descendants cracked the Top 10 with an estimated $1.2 million from just 29 theaters. That's a stronger start than director Alexander Payne's Sideways and About Schmidt, though their patterns were more gradual so it isn't exactly an apples-to-apples comparison. Those two movies finished with $71.5 million and $65 million, respectively, which is what The Descendants ought to be shooting for after this strong start.