Box Office Predictions/Results Thread

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Very strong Saturday increase for Ferrari. Should have some good legs. Also congrats to The Joker for passing a billion, first R-rated film to ever do so.

www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart

1 N Ford v. Ferrari 20th Cent… $31,037,000 3,528 $8,797 $31,037,000 1
2 (1) Midway Lionsgate $8,750,000 -51% 3,242 n/c $2,699 $35,140,773 2
3 N Charlie’s Angels Sony Pict… $8,600,000 3,452 $2,491 $8,600,000 1
4 (3) Playing with Fire Paramount… $8,550,000 -33% 3,125 n/c $2,736 $25,497,824 2
5 (4) Last Christmas Universal $6,700,000 -41% 3,454 +6 $1,940 $22,575,765 2
6 (2) Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $6,181,000 -56% 3,855 n/c $1,603 $25,039,159 2
7 N The Good Liar Warner Bros. $5,656,000 2,439 $2,319 $5,656,000 1
8 (6) Joker Warner Bros. $5,635,000 -39% 2,337 -469 $2,411 $322,599,593 7
9 (7) Maleficent: Mistress … Walt Disney $5,247,000 -38% 2,549 -652 $2,058 $106,040,384 5
10 (8) Harriet Focus Fea… $4,780,000 -35% 2,011 -175 $2,377 $31,882,990 3

[Trey Strain Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Trey Strain]

The Terminator might be suffering from both franchise fatigue and the casting of two aging leads in an action movie.

Charlie's Angels? I dunno. That's an old television show, not a theatrical franchise. It might have helped if they could have kept the same stars from movie to movie.

[Andrew NDB Shot Caller Find all posts View Profile Close Andrew NDB]

The Terminator might be suffering from both franchise fatigue and the casting of two aging leads in an action movie.

Charlie's Angels? I dunno. That's an old television show, not a theatrical franchise. It might have helped if they could have kept the same stars from movie to movie.

This sums it up pretty well:

https://www.worldofreel.com/blog/201...nwwr3nqj6gzb94

[Trey Strain Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Trey Strain]

This sums it up pretty well:

https://www.worldofreel.com/blog/201...nwwr3nqj6gzb94

Charlie's Angels was a dumb T&A television show from the Seventies. One of the three, Kate Jackson, was more ordinary looking and was brainy.

If they had asked me to write it, I'd have done what the Brady Bunch movies did successfully. I'd have made fun of a dumb television show. And I'd have kept the T&A in it. I bet people would have preferred to see something like that.

[Trey Strain Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Trey Strain]

"Get woke, go broke."

I like that. But I bet Hollywood will keep trying to get theater-goers woke. It's in their DNA.

https://www.dailywire.com/news/get-w...the-box-office

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

The Terminator might be suffering from both franchise fatigue and the casting of two aging leads in an action movie.

Charlie's Angels? I dunno. That's an old television show, not a theatrical franchise. It might have helped if they could have kept the same stars from movie to movie.

Charlie's Angels was doomed regardless. It's a property that nobody cares about anymore. Maybe it could have done better if they could have gotten bigger stars for the leads, but that would have ballooned the budget, something that Sony wasn't willing to do, anything.

[Trey Strain Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Trey Strain]

If Charlie's Angles had been a sendup of the television show and had kept the budget low, it might have made money.

Speaking of which, Midway is going to lose a fortune. Again, this movie just screams out, "Keep the budget low!"

One of the many things Clint Eastwood has done right in his career is his practice of keeping his budgets down. He began his association with Don Siegel after watching Invasion of the Body Snatchers and admiring what that movie had accomplished with a low budget.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

If Charlie's Angles had been a sendup of the television show and had kept the budget low, it might have made money.

Speaking of which, Midway is going to lose a fortune. Again, this movie just screams out, "Keep the budget low!"

One of the many things Clint Eastwood has done right in his career is his practice of keeping his budgets down. He began his association with Don Siegel after watching Invasion of the Body Snatchers and admiring what that movie had accomplished with a low budget.

Actually Midway only needed to make 65m domestically to be considered a "mild success", since it was an independent production, and Lionsgate just sold the rights overseas.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (November 22 - 24).

1. Frozen - 125m
2. Ford Vs. Ferrari - 21m
3. A Beautiful Day in The Neighborhood - 15m
4. 21 Bridges - 9m
5. Midway - 6m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

That's good for Frozen, although it seems to have fallen from estimates, still it should have a strong Saturday increase. Also a decent drop for Ford, and fine opening numbers for Neighborhood.

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

1 N Frozen II Walt Disney $41,800,000 4,440 $9,414 $41,800,000 1
2 N A Beautiful Day in the Ne… Sony Pictures $4,545,000 3,235 $1,405 $4,545,000 1
3 (1) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Century… $4,500,000 +122% -59% 3,528 $1,276 $46,489,570 8
4 N 21 Bridges STX Entertai… $3,330,000 2,665 $1,250 $3,330,000 1
5 (2) Midway Lionsgate $1,380,000 +93% -45% 3,242 $426 $39,787,561 15
6 (9) Playing with Fire Paramount Pi… $1,070,000 +235% -44% 2,760 $388 $28,076,647 15
7 (3) The Good Liar Warner Bros. $1,030,000 +82% -37% 2,454 $420 $9,420,794 8
8 (5) Charlie’s Angels Sony Pictures $970,000 +127% -69% 3,452 $281 $11,735,592 8
9 (4) Last Christmas Universal $940,000 +115% -53% 2,411 $390 $25,692,390 15
- (8) Joker Warner Bros. $765,000 +133% -48% 1,410 $543 $324,876,813 50
- (7) Doctor Sleep Warner Bros. $525,000 +57% -69% 1,476 $356 $27,441,742 15

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for the 3 day weekend (November 29 - 31).

1. Frozen 2 - 83m
2. Knives Out - 24m
3. Ford Vs. Ferrari - 12m
4. A Beautiful Day in The Neighborhood - 10m
5. Queen & Slim - 9m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Excellent for Knives Out. It's going to open with more then the 40m it was projected at. Also that's a fantastic drop for Neighborhood. It had the best drop in the top ten too.

https://deadline.com/2019/11/frozen-...ng-1202796248/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY(VS. PREV FRI) 3-DAY 5-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Frozen 2 Dis 4,440 $34.1M (-19%) $86.7M (-33%) $126.3M $290.1M 2
2 Knives Out LG/MRC 3,391 $10.6M $27.7M $42.4M $42.4M 1
3 Ford V Ferrari Fox/Dis 3,585 (+57) $5.3M (+18%) $13.9M (-11%) $19.8M $81.8M 3
4 Beautiful Day… Sony 3,325 (+90) $5M (+11%) $12.9M (-2%) $18.3M $35.3M 2
5 Queen & Slim Uni/Make/Bron 1,690 $4.3M $10.8M $14.9M $14.9M 1
6 21 Bridges STX 2,665 $2.1M (-35%) $5.7M (-38%) $7.7M $19.2M 2
7 Midway LG/Cent 2,377 (-250) $1.69M
(+22%) $4.1M (-11%) $5.96M $50.4M 4
7 Playing With Fire Par/Wal 2,679 (-81) $1.66M (+54%) $4.1M (-9%) $5.96M $39.1M 4
8 Joker WB/VR/Bron 1,146 (-264) $770K (0%) $1.92M (-30%) $2.8M $330.5M 9
9 Last Christmas Uni 1,852 (-559) $760K (-18%) $1.96M (-37%) $2.8M $31.6M 4

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Frozen II held well, Knives Out broke out big, and even Queen & Slim overperformed relative to its budget. After weekends of dead air, the box office is lively again.

https://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart

1 (1) Frozen II Walt Disney $85,250,000 -35% 4,098 -342 $20,803 $287,573,344 2
2 N Knives Out Lionsgate $27,022,000 3,461 $7,808 $41,700,000 1
3 (2) Ford v. Ferrari 20th Cent… $13,221,000 -16% 3,446 -82 $3,837 $81,003,779 3
4 (3) A Beautiful Day in th… Sony Pict… $11,795,000 -11% 3,235 n/c $3,646 $34,308,989 2
5 N Queen & Slim Universal $11,680,000 1,690 $6,911 $15,790,000 1
6 (4) 21 Bridges STX Enter… $5,820,000 -37% 2,665 n/c $2,184 $19,448,268 2
7 (6) Playing with Fire Paramount… $4,200,000 -7% 2,679 -81 $1,568 $39,203,808 4
8 (5) Midway Lionsgate $3,957,000 -15% 2,377 -250 $1,665 $50,278,625 4
9 (10) Joker Warner Bros. $2,030,000 -26% 1,146 -264 $1,771 $330,601,522 9
10 (9) Last Christmas Universal $1,980,000 -36% 1,852 -559 $1,069 $31,658,680 4

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (December 6 - 8).

1. Frozen II - 42m
2. Knives Out - 15m
3. Ford Vs. Ferrari - 7.6m
4. Queen & Slim - 7m
5. A Beautiful Day in The Neighborhood - 6.8m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

https://deadline.com/2019/12/frozen-...rt-1202802388/

1. Frozen 2 (Dis)/4,348 theaters (-92)/Fri $7.8M (-77%), 3-day $34.6M (-60%)/Cume $337.5M/Wk 3

2. Knives Out (LG/MRC)/3,461 theaters/ Fri $4.1M (-61%)/3-day $14M (-48%)/Cume $63.3M/Wk 2

3. Queen & Slim (Uni/MakeReady/Bron)/1,715 theaters (+25)/ Fri $1.9M (-56%), 3-day $6.5M (-45%)/Cume $26.8M/Wk 2

4. Ford v Ferrari (Fox/Dis)/3,746 theaters (+161)/ Fri $1.9M (-64%)/3-day $6.4M (-51%)/Cume $89.3M/Wk 4

5. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (Sony/TriStar)/3,491 theaters (+256)/Fri $1.6M (-69%)/3-day $5.2M (-56%)/Cume $43.1M/Wk 3

6. Dark Waters (Foc)/2012 theaters (+1918)/ Fri $1.4M (+600%), 3-day $4M (+567%)/Cume $5.1M/Wk 3

7. 21 Bridges (STX) 2,465 theaters (-200)/Fri $803K (-63%)/3 day $2.7M (-50%)/Cume $23.8M/Wk 3

8. Playing With Fire (Par/Wal) 2253 (-426)/Fri $465K (-72%)/3 day $2.1M (-51%)/Cume $42M/Wk 5

9. Midway (LG/Cent) 2100 (-277)/Fri $568K (-66%)/3 day $1.9M (-51%)/Cume $53.3M/Wk 5

10. Last Christmas (Uni) 1260 (-592) Fri $304K (-60%)/3-day $1M (-49%)/Cume/Wk 5